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Jonathan Shaw

Research Fellow
Education

PhD Economics, University College, London, 2017

MPhil Economics, University of Cambridge, 2003

BA Economics, University of Cambridge, 2002

Biography

Jonathan is a Technical Specialist in the Economics Department at the Financial Conduct Authority and a Research Fellow at the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Jonathan is an economist and data scientist whose research focuses on understanding household finances, investigating the effects of taxes and benefits across life and applying data science techniques to address economic questions. Before joining the Financial Conduct Authority, he was Programme Director for Economic Data Science at the Alan Turing Institute, and prior to that he worked at the IFS for almost 15 years, the last four of which as Deputy Director of the Tax Administration Research Centre. He has done work for government departments in the UK and abroad, regulators and private charitable foundations and has provided economic advice to a wide variety of policymakers in governmental and quasi-governmental organisations. He did his PhD in economics at University College London under Professor Sir Richard Blundell.

Selected publications

  

All available outputs

The return to work and how it is taxed: a dynamic perspective, October 2018, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Working Paper, WP18/27, The IFS
What a difference a day makes: inequality and the tax and benefit system from a long-run perspective, March 2018, (with Barra Roantree ), The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer Link, Journal article
The dynamic effects of tax audits, October 2017, (with Arun Advani William Elming ), Working Paper, W17/24, The IFS
Mobility and the lifetime distributional impact of tax and transfer reforms, August 2017, (with Peter Levell Barra Roantree ), Working Paper, W17/17, The IFS
Female labor supply, human capital, and welfare reform, September 2016, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Econometrica, Vol. 84, No. 5, pp. 1705–1753, The Econometric Society, Journal article
Mobility and the lifetime distributional impact of tax and transfer reforms, September 2016, (with Peter Levell Barra Roantree ), Working Paper, W16/17, The IFS
Female Labor Supply, Human Capital, and Welfare Reform, September 2016, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Econometrica, Vol. 84, No. 5, pp. 1705-1753, The Econometric Society, Journal article
Money or fun? Why students want to pursue further education, August 2016, (with Chris Belfield Teodora Boneva , Christopher Rauh ), Working Paper, W16/13, IFS
Female labour supply, human capital and tax reform, May 2016, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
Female labour supply, human capital and welfare reform, February 2016, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Working Paper, W16/03, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Previous version:
Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir and Jonathan Shaw May 2013, Female labour supply, human capital and welfare reform, cemmap Working Paper , W13/10
The effects of taxes and charges on saving incentives in the UK, February 2016, (with Stuart Adam ), Presentation
Press release:
The effects of taxes and charges on saving incentives in the UK, February 2016, (with Stuart Adam ), Report, R113, IFS
Redistribution from a lifetime perspective: background and methodology, September 2015, Presentation
Press release:
Peter Levell, Barra Roantree and Jonathan Shaw, 22 September 2015, More than nine in ten individuals pay more in taxes than they receive in social security over their lifetime, Press release
Redistribution from a lifetime perspective, September 2015, (with Peter Levell Barra Roantree ), Working Paper, W15/27, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Welfare Reform, June 2015, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Mimeo
Benefit receipt more widespread and inequality lower in the long-run, April 2015, (with Barra Roantree ), Press release
Constructing full adult life-cycles from short panels, January 2015, (with Peter Levell ), Working Paper, W15/01, IFS
Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Tax Reform, November 2014, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Welfare Reform, August 2014, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
Lifetime inequality and redistribution, August 2014, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Presentation
The redistribution and insurance value of welfare reform, August 2014, Working Paper, W14/21, IFS
Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Welfare Reform, July 2014, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Welfare Reform, June 2014, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
Top 10 Stata 'gotchas', February 2014, User Guides
Female Labour Supply, Human Capital and Welfare Reform, May 2013, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), External publication, National Bureau of Economic Research
Female labour supply, human capital and welfare reform, May 2013, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Working Paper, W13/10, Institute for Fiscal Studies
New version:
Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir and Jonathan Shaw February 2016, Female labour supply, human capital and welfare reform, cemmap Working Paper , W16/03
How taxes and welfare distort work incentives: static lifecycle and dynamic perspectives, January 2013, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Working Paper, W13/01
Lifetime inequality and redistribution, October 2012, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Working Paper, W12/23
How taxes and welfare distort work incentives: static, lifecycle and dynamic perspectives, October 2012, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Mimeo
How taxes and benefits redistribute income and affect work incentives: a lifecycle perspective, October 2012, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Presentation
The long-term effects of in-work benefits in a lifecycle model for policy evaluation, September 2012, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
Education, labour supply and welfare, September 2012, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
A lifetime perspective on the distributional aspects of the tax system - U. of Copenhagen, February 2012, (with Mike Brewer Costas Meghir , Monica Costa Dias ), Presentation
An introduction to FORTAX, December 2011, Presentation
A lifetime perspective on the distributional and incentive effects of UK personal taxes, December 2011, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Presentation
A lifetime perspective on the distributional and incentive effects of the tax system, May 2011, (with Mike Brewer Monica Costa Dias ), Presentation
FORTAX: UK tax and benefit system documentation, May 2011, Working Paper, W11/08
The long-term effects of in-work benefits in a lifecycle model for policy evaluation - RES, March 2011, (with Richard Blundell Mike Brewer , Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Presentation
The long-term effects of in-work benefits in a life-cycle model for policy evaluation, February 2011, (with Richard Blundell Monica Costa Dias , Costas Meghir ), Working Paper, CWP07/11, IFS
Administration and compliance, April 2010, (with Joel Slemrod , John Whiting), in Dimensions of Tax Design: the Mirrlees Review, J. Mirrlees, S. Adam, T. Besley, R. Blundell, S. Bond, R. Chote, M. Gammie, P. Johnson, G. Myles and J. Poterba (eds) Oxford University Press, Book chapter
The IFS Green Budget: February 2010, February 2010, (with Robert Chote Carl Emmerson ), Report, C112, IFS, 978-1-903274-72-9
Press release:
Robert Chote, Carl Emmerson and Jonathan Shaw, 03 February 2010, More ambition needed to repair public finances, but don't squeeze too soon, Press release
More ambition needed to repair public finances, but don't squeeze too soon, February 2010, (with Robert Chote Carl Emmerson ), Press release
FORTAX library, October 2009, (with Andrew Shephard), Software
Understanding the compliance costs of benefits and tax credits, July 2009, (with Fran Bennett Mike Brewer ), Presentation
Understanding the compliance costs of benefits and tax credits, July 2009, (with Fran Bennett Mike Brewer ), Report, R70, 978-1-903274-62-0
Understanding the compliance costs of benefits and tax credits, July 2009, (with Fran Bennett Mike Brewer ), Presentation
The IFS Green Budget: January 2009, January 2009, (with Robert Chote Carl Emmerson , David Miles ), Report, C107, IFS, 978-1-903274-58-3
Press release:
Robert Chote, Carl Emmerson, David Miles and Jonathan Shaw, 28 January 2009, More tax increases or spending cuts needed to pay for cost of credit crunch, Press release
More tax increases or spending cuts needed to pay for cost of credit crunch, January 2009, (with Robert Chote Carl Emmerson , David Miles ), Press release
Ethnic parity in labour market outcomes for benefit claimants, January 2009, (with Claire Crawford Lorraine Dearden , Alice Mesnard , Barbara Sianesi), Working Paper, W09/04
Ethnic parity in Jobcentre Plus programmes and mainstream services: main report, May 2008, (with Claire Crawford Lorraine Dearden , Alice Mesnard , Barbara Sianesi , Peter Urwin), Mimeo
IFS Green Budget 2008, January 2008, (with Robert Chote Carl Emmerson , David Miles ), Press release
The IFS Green Budget: January 2008, January 2008, (with Robert Chote Carl Emmerson , David Miles ), Report, C104, IFS, 978-1-903274-52-1
Press release:
Robert Chote, Carl Emmerson, David Miles and Jonathan Shaw, 30 January 2008, IFS Green Budget 2008, Press release
Tax implementation in the United Kingdom, April 2007, (with Joel Slemrod , John Whiting), Conference paper
Eradicating child poverty, April 2007, Economic Review, Vol. 24, No. 4, University of Southampton, Journal article
National evaluation of the neighbourhood nurseries: integrated report, March 2007, (with Lorraine Dearden , Luke Sibieta), External publication
National evaluation of the neighbourhood nurseries initiative: impact report, March 2007, (with Lorraine Dearden , Luke Sibieta), External publication
Tax implementation issues in the United Kingdom, October 2006, (with Joel Slemrod , John Whiting), Mimeo
Poverty and inequality in Britain: 2006, March 2006, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Luke Sibieta), Report, C101, IFS, 978-1-903274-45-3
Press release:
Mike Brewer, Alissa Goodman, Jonathan Shaw and Luke Sibieta, 13 March 2006, Slow growth in average income but large fall in pensioner poverty, Press release
Slow growth in average income but large fall in pensioner poverty, March 2006, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Luke Sibieta), Press release
How many lone parents are receiving tax credits?, March 2006, (with Mike Brewer ), Briefing note, BN70
Press release:
Mike Brewer and Jonathan Shaw, 12 March 2006, Government paying tax credits and benefits to 200,000 more lone parents than live in the UK, Press release
Government misses child poverty targets, March 2006, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Luke Sibieta), Press release
Ethnic differences in birth outcomes in England, March 2006, (with Lorraine Dearden Alice Mesnard ), Fiscal Studies, Vol. 27, No. 1, March 2006, Vol. 27, No. 1, pp. 17-46, Blackwell Publishing, Journal article
Press release:
Lorraine Dearden, Alice Mesnard and Jonathan Shaw, 08 March 2006, Ethnic differences in birth outcomes in England, Press release
Ethnic differences in birth outcomes in England, March 2006, (with Lorraine Dearden Alice Mesnard ), Press release
Inequality under Labour, November 2005, Economic Review, Vol. 23, No. 2, Philip Allan Magazines, Journal article
Better or worse off? More or less heavily taxed? An assessment of manifesto claims, April 2005, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman ), Briefing note, BN64
Living standards, inequality and poverty, April 2005, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Andrew Shephard), Briefing note, BN63
Ethnic differences in birth outcomes in England, April 2005, (with Lorraine Dearden Alice Mesnard ), Mimeo
Tax rises and new tax credits cut average incomes, but reduce poverty and inequality, March 2005, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Andrew Shephard), Press release
Poverty and inequality in Britain: 2005, March 2005, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Andrew Shephard), Report, C099, IFS, 978-1-903274-42-2
Press release:
Mike Brewer, Alissa Goodman, Jonathan Shaw and Andrew Shephard, 30 March 2005, Tax rises and new tax credits cut average incomes, but reduce poverty and inequality, Press release
Understanding recent trends in income inequality, March 2005, (with Alissa Goodman , Andrew Shephard), in Maintaining momentum: promoting social mobility and life chances from early years to adulthood, S. Delorenzi, J. Reed and P. Robinson (eds.) Institute for Public Policy Research, Book chapter
Inequality and Poverty, January 2005, Presentation
Families and Children Strategic Analysis Programme (FACSAP) Childcare use and mothers' employment: a review of British data sources, December 2004, (with Mike Brewer ), External publication, Department for Work and Pensions
Press release:
Mike Brewer and Jonathan Shaw, 13 January 2005, Government surveys of parents disagree on how many working families use childcare, Press release
To move the goal posts?, April 2004, (with Mike Brewer ), New Start, Newspaper article
Poverty and inequality in Britain: 2004, February 2004, (with Mike Brewer Alissa Goodman , Michal Myck , Andrew Shephard), Report, C096, IFS, 978-1-903274-37-8

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