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Valid post-selection inference in high-dimensional approximately sparse quantile regression models

Authors: Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov and Kengo Kato
Date: 31 December 2014
Type: cemmap Working Paper, CWP53/14
DOI: 10.1920/wp.cem.2014.5314


This work proposes new inference methods for the estimation of a regression coefficient of interest in quantile regression models. We consider high-dimensional models where the number of regressors potentially exceeds the sample size but a subset of them suffice to construct a reasonable approximation of the unknown quantile regression function in the model. The proposed methods are protected against moderate model selection mistakes, which are often inevitable in the approximately sparse model considered here. The methods construct (implicitly or explicitly) an optimal instrument as a residual from a density-weighted projection of the regressor of interest on other regressors. Under regularity conditions, the proposed estimators of the quantile regression coefficient are asymptotically root-n normal, with variance equal to the semi-parametric efficiency bound of the partially linear quantile regression model. In addition, the performance of the technique is illustrated through Monte-carlo experiments and an empirical example, dealing with risk factors in childhood malnutrition. The numerical results confirm the theoretical findings that the proposed methods should outperform the naive post-model selection methods in non-parametric settings. Moreover, the empirical results demonstrate soundness of the proposed methods.

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Alexandre Belloni, Victor Chernozhukov and Kengo Kato December 2013, Robust inference in high-dimensional approximately sparse quantile regression models, cemmap Working Paper, IFS

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