centre for microdata methods and practice
ESRC centre
cemmap is an ESRC research centre
Raffaella Giacomini
Research fellow
Biography
Raffaella Giacomini came to UCL from a position at UCLA in summer 2007. Her recent research focuses on: Predictive Ability Testing, Forecast Evaluation, Forecasting in a Changing Economy, Model Selection, Density and Quantile Forecasting.
Selected publications
All available outputs
Robust Bayesian inference for set-identified models,
November 2018,
(with
Toru Kitagawa),
Working Paper, CWP61/18, The IFS
Previous version:
Toru Kitagawa May 2011,
Inference and decision for set identified parameters using posterior lower and upper probabilities,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP16/11
Raffaella Giacomini and Toru Kitagawa November 2014,
Inference about Non-Identified SVARs,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP45/14
Bayesian estimation of state space models using moment conditions,
December 2017,
(with
Ron Gallant , Giuseppe Ragusa),
Journal of Econometrics,
pp. 198-211,
Elsevier,
Journal article
Uncertain identification,
April 2017,
(with
Toru Kitagawa , Alessio Volpicella),
Working Paper, CWP18/17, The IFS
Model comparisons in unstable environments,
May 2016,
(with
Barbara Rossi),
International Economic Review,
Vol. 57, No. 2, pp. 369--392,
Wiley Online Library,
Journal article
Previous version:
Raffaella Giacomini and Barbara Rossi June 2012,
Model comparisons in unstable environments,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP13/12
Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature,
June 2015,
Econometrics Journal,
Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. C22–C41,
Wiley,
Journal article
Previous version:
Raffaella Giacomini September 2014,
Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP41/14
Inference about Non-Identified SVARs,
November 2014,
(with
Toru Kitagawa),
Working Paper, CWP45/14, cemmap
New version:
Raffaella Giacomini and Toru Kitagawa November 2018,
Robust Bayesian inference for set-identified models,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP61/18
Bond Returns and Market Expectations,
October 2014,
(with
Carlo Altavilla , Riccardo Costantini),
Journal of Financial Econometrics,
No. 4, pp. 708-729,
Oxford Journals,
Journal article
Previous version:
Carlo Altavilla, Riccardo Costantini and Raffaella Giacomini May 2013,
Bond returns and market expectations,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP20/13
Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature,
September 2014,
Working Paper, CWP41/14, cemmap
Now published:
Raffaella Giacomini June 2015,
Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature,
Journal article
Econometrics Journal
The relationship between DSGE and VAR models,
December 2013,
Advances in Econometrics,
Vol. 32 VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims, pp. 1--25,
Emerald Publishing Group Limited,
Journal article
Previous version:
Raffaella Giacomini May 2013,
The relationship between DSGE and VAR models,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP21/13
Anchoring the yield curve using survey expectations,
October 2013,
(with
Carlo Altavilla , Giuseppe Ragusa),
Working Paper, CWP52/13
Generalized method of moments with latent variables,
October 2013,
(with
Ron Gallant , Giuseppe Ragusa),
Working Paper, CWP50/13
The relationship between DSGE and VAR models,
June 2013,
in VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims (Advances in Econometrics, Volume 32) vol.32, pp.1-25,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited,
Book chapter
A warp-speed method for conducting Monte Carlo experiments involving bootstrap estimators,
June 2013,
(with
Dimitris N. Politis , Halbert White),
Econometric Theory,
Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 567--589,
Cambridge Journals,
Journal article
Previous version:
Raffaella Giacomini, Dimitris N. Politis and Halbert White May 2012,
A warp-speed method for conducting Monte Carlo experiments involving bootstrap estimators,
cemmap Working Paper
, CWP11/12
The relationship between DSGE and VAR models,
May 2013,
Working Paper, CWP21/13, cemmap
Now published:
Raffaella Giacomini December 2013,
The relationship between DSGE and VAR models,
Journal article
Advances in Econometrics
Bond returns and market expectations,
May 2013,
(with
Carlo Altavilla Riccardo Costantini ),
Working Paper, CWP20/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Now published:
Carlo Altavilla, Raffaella Giacomini and Riccardo Costantini October 2014,
Bond Returns and Market Expectations,
Journal article
Journal of Financial Econometrics
Model comparisons in unstable environments,
June 2012,
(with
Barbara Rossi),
Working Paper, CWP13/12
Now published:
Raffaella Giacomini and Barbara Rossi May 2016,
Model comparisons in unstable environments,
Journal article
International Economic Review
A warp-speed method for conducting Monte Carlo experiments involving bootstrap estimators,
May 2012,
(with
Dimitris N. Politis , Halbert White),
Working Paper, CWP11/12, cemmap
Now published:
Raffaella Giacomini, Dimitris N. Politis and Halbert White June 2013,
A warp-speed method for conducting Monte Carlo experiments involving bootstrap estimators,
Journal article
Econometric Theory
Incorporating theoretical restrictions into forecasting by projection methods,
October 2011,
(with
Giuseppe Ragusa),
External publication, CEPR
How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure?,
September 2011,
(with
Andrea Carreiro ),
Journal of Econometrics,
Vol. 164, No. 1, pp. 21-34,
Elsevier,
Journal article
Forecast comparisons in unstable environments,
August 2010,
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
Journal article
Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns,
March 2009,
Review of Economic Studies,
Vol. 72, No. 2, pp. 669-705,
Journal article